Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.438545 0.513798 0.595938 0.691974 0.800884 0.920258 1.060695
2025-01-26 0.324806 0.427291 0.550111 0.706838 0.900076 1.129014 1.419095
2025-02-02 0.251368 0.365370 0.513227 0.715983 0.983283 1.319788 1.771003
2025-02-09 0.200196 0.317947 0.481598 0.720240 1.052942 1.493111 2.110804
2025-02-16 0.167711 0.288164 0.466021 0.739428 1.138972 1.689764 2.491929
2025-02-23 0.139994 0.259142 0.445312 0.745691 1.203698 1.858598 2.843996
2025-03-02 0.111678 0.223072 0.407345 0.719274 1.215015 1.949258 3.088853
2025-03-09 0.097603 0.208146 0.400097 0.738320 1.294527 2.142278 3.491373
2025-03-16 0.084664 0.192580 0.389028 0.748761 1.359812 2.316530 3.874858
2025-03-23 0.077901 0.187415 0.395036 0.787864 1.473518 2.571311 4.394084
2025-03-30 0.066447 0.170463 0.376951 0.782193 1.511118 2.707168 4.735036
2025-04-06 0.056330 0.154192 0.357595 0.771424 1.537920 2.825723 5.053295
2025-04-13 0.047826 0.139943 0.340559 0.763736 1.570647 2.958238 5.405753
2025-04-20 0.042556 0.132255 0.335919 0.779425 1.646800 3.168660 5.898430
2025-04-27 0.037525 0.124013 0.328823 0.789210 1.712409 3.364447 6.376545
2025-05-04 0.032830 0.115517 0.319807 0.793786 1.767996 3.545280 6.837709
2025-05-11 0.029751 0.110771 0.318654 0.814611 1.856221 3.788548 7.417686
2025-05-18 0.026268 0.103954 0.311488 0.821406 1.916793 3.984567 7.923643
2025-05-25 0.021564 0.092000 0.289633 0.792715 1.902855 4.042026 8.185688
2025-06-01 0.019671 0.088691 0.289382 0.813400 1.992072 4.296562 8.813147
2025-06-08 0.017615 0.084243 0.285395 0.824738 2.062153 4.517992 9.389468
2025-06-15 0.016870 0.084366 0.293969 0.867181 2.201710 4.879617 10.238638
2025-06-22 0.014605 0.078032 0.283313 0.861027 2.234733 5.035126 10.710271